Attachment 'forecasts.inc'
Download 1 <h1>Forecast 2008</h1>
2 <ul id="tables">
3 <li><a onclick="showfcst('Gold')">Gold</a></li>
4 <li><a onclick="showfcst('Silver')">Silver</a></li>
5 <li><a onclick="showfcst('Platinum')">Platinum</a></li>
6 <li><a onclick="showfcst('Palladium')">Palladium</a></li>
7 </ul>
8 <p>
9 These clickable tables show our analysts’ forecasts
10 and commentary for 2008.
11 </p>
12 <ul id="comments">
13 <li class="Biondi all"><img src="images/faces/AB.jpg" alt="Adrien Biondi"><span class="author">Adrien Biondi</span>
14 Last year was a very good one for bullion and the whole industry has
15 profited from the move. Newcomers to the precious metals markets and the
16 general public assume that this bull run will be an ongoing process,
17 especially with the latest subprime crisis and the highs in oil, although
18 we tend to have a more cautious approach. Of course the crisis is mainly
19 limited to OECD countries, and the booms in China and India haven't shown
20 any signs of weakening. The shift in consumption away from the traditional
21 North American and European economies, which had been responsible for the
22 lion's share of global consumption, to the new economies is also very
23 bullish for precious metals. The constant demand from China and India for
24 natural resources has added momentum to the precious metals market.We fear
25 that a move lower during 2008 may stop this euphoria for a while, but a
26 correction is healthy for any bull market: 2008 will be a consolidation
27 period. <br><br>There is a potentially difficult year ahead for PGMs,
28 with high prices sapping demand within the jewellery sector along with
29 other bearish factors in the West such as diminishing car demand, although
30 this may be partially offset by expansion in the Far East. Adding to this,
31 some uncertainty over global supply levels for the coming year makes
32 choosing the correct averages very challenging. But with recent record
33 highs, again looking for some correction in 2008 would put more pressure
34 on platinum than palladium. The larger amounts of platinum held in hedge
35 funds and commodity-linked index products weigh on the more expensive
36 sibling.
37 </li>
38 <li class="Briggs gold"><span class="author">Stephen Briggs</span>
39 We approach this year's forecasting survey with even more trepidation than
40 usual. Our bearishness last year was based mainly on the house view that
41 the US dollar bear market would come to an end. Both were misplaced, but
42 until very recently the house view still was that the US dollar would
43 appreciate markedly against the euro in particular over the course of
44 2008, and even now some recovery is forecast in the second half. This is
45 not the consensus view and it is very far from that within the gold
46 market. Yet there may be other reasons too to take a bearish stance.
47 Although gold's internal fundamentals may remain broadly positive, they
48 are much less supportive in the recent price environment, and it is only a
49 matter of time before one factor, producer de hedging, loses its force.
50 This leaves gold overly dependent on investors.
51 </li>
52 <li class="Briggs silver"><span class="author">Stephen Briggs</span>
53 If gold does finally turn down, silver will, we believe, be particularly
54 exposed. Its fundamentals are less solid, with, notably, photographic
55 demand still in rapid decline and mine production showing clear signs of
56 picking up, and its bull market has been even more dependent on investment
57 in general and ETF demand in particular. Silver's legendary volatility
58 suggests that prices could at some point fall very heavily indeed.
59 </li>
60 <li class="Briggs platinum"><span class="author">Stephen Briggs</span>
61 In contrast, we share the strong consensus view that platinum has robust
62 fundamentals, perhaps the strongest in the sector, especially after the
63 big production losses of 2007 that tipped the market back into deficit.
64 Even if the South African industry manages to get back on track this year,
65 the market will remain tight, and after massive price-driven destruction
66 there is much pent-up jewellery demand. Platinum appears to us fairly
67 fully priced and it will not be immune to any weakening of gold, but the
68 correction we expect should be relatively contained.
69 </li>
70 <li class="Briggs palladium"><span class="author">Stephen Briggs</span>
71 On the face of it, palladium's prospects look more akin to those of
72 silver. Inventories are high and supply has been more resilient recently
73 than in the case of platinum. However, demand prospects are good, the
74 price is, or at least is perceived as low compared with the other precious
75 metals, investors appear happy to absorb Russian stockpile sales, and
76 these may at some point dry up. Palladium could even make some independent
77 progress, although it too cannot be impervious to any softness elsewhere.
78 </li>
79 <li class="Butler silver"><span class="author">Tom Butler</span>
80 In 2007 the average price of silver rose by 16%, much less than the 58%
81 increase seen in 2006, but nevertheless a relatively positive performance.
82 Compared to the behaviour of the other precious metals, however, with both
83 gold and platinum achieving new all-time record price levels, silver has
84 been somewhat neglected. Fundamentally the outlook for silver remains one
85 of surplus, with new industrial demand strong, but consumption in
86 photography and jewellery is expected to decline. So long as the gold
87 price continues to strengthen and the dollar remains under pressure, then
88 silver can be expected to benefit as well. The real key to its price
89 performance in the year ahead will be investment, mainly through ETFs. If
90 enough investors can be persuaded that silver is cheap compared to other
91 precious metals, then it could assume an inflationary hedge role and press
92 higher once more.
93 </li>
94 <li class="Christian gold"><span class="author">Jeffrey Christian</span>
95 Political, economic, and financial market concerns will cause investors
96 to continue buying historically high volumes of physical gold. In
97 December 2006 we said 2007 would be a year of great volatility across
98 markets. It was. We expect 2008 to see even greater volatility, in
99 currency markets, equity markets, and precious metals prices. Mine
100 production will rise, as will scrap recovery. Central banks will
101 continue to sell gold, but the key factor directing gold prices will be
102 investment demand, as it always is.
103 </li>
104 <li class="Christian silver"><span class="author">Jeffrey Christian</span>
105 Silver prices will continue to rise, pushed higher by the same wave of
106 investor anxiety that is driving gold, and will be even more extreme
107 than those of gold. Prices could spike sharply lower, but the bias will
108 remain toward higher prices. Industrial demand, especially in electronic
109 applications, will apply additional upward pressure. The physical silver
110 market is far less liquid than that of gold, which should lead to more
111 volatile price swings. People speak of the fact that silver 'lagged'
112 gold by 'only' rising $15.3% from end-2006 to end-2007, while gold rose
113 31.3%. They overlook the fact that while gold prices rose 23% in 2006,
114 silver rose 45.5%. Gold was playing catch up with silver last year.
115 </li>
116 <li class="Christian platinum"><span class="author">Jeffrey Christian</span>
117 Platinum prices may continue to trade around record levels during the
118 first half of the year, but could sell off significantly during the
119 second half. If South African production continues to be disrupted,
120 platinum will remain high. Barring continued disruptions, South African
121 output could rise in a year that sees slower growth in industrial use.
122 Investors might sell in the second half of 2008, especially if they grow
123 more fearful of either a 2009 recession, a shift away from platinum in
124 auto catalysts, or both.
125 </li>
126 <li class="Christian palladium"><span class="author">Jeffrey Christian</span>
127 Palladium will participate more fully in the investor buying spree
128 expected to continue in precious metals this year.
129 </li>
130 <li class="Cooper gold"><span class="author">Suki Cooper</span>
131 In our view, gold prices are set to post positive gains for the seventh
132 consecutive year on an annual average basis. Following a significant swing
133 into deficit last year, the market fundamentals remain tightly balanced
134 and external drivers remain positive. Even with the dollar stabilising at
135 its recent lower levels, investment demand remains strong. Gold prices
136 were buoyed by investor interest and this is likely to remain the key
137 price determinant this year. External factors such as higher inflation
138 expectations, broader economic concerns, geopolitical tensions and Fed
139 rate easing are likely to drive prices higher. On a fundamental basis mine
140 supply remains constrained and physical and investment demand should
141 emerge upon price dips providing a price floor.
142 </li>
143 <li class="Cooper silver"><span class="author">Suki Cooper</span>
144 Silver prices have benefited from the positive price evolution of gold
145 rather than its own supply/demand balance, which appear unfavourable. We
146 forecast the market will move into surplus this year given the strong
147 growth in mine supplies exacerbating a period of weak demand growth.
148 Speculative interest remains key and despite its own fundamental balance
149 we believe prices will continue to track gold this year, benefiting from
150 its price appreciation.
151 </li>
152 <li class="Cooper platinum"><span class="author">Suki Cooper</span>
153 Platinum was the strongest performer last year and in our view it will
154 outperform again this year. Inventories remain at historically low levels
155 and the impact of the mine supply disruptions last year is likely to
156 extend into this year, especially as South Africa continues its audit of
157 mines following the spate of fatal accidents. After its sharp swing back
158 into negative territory last year, the platinum supply-demand balance is
159 staged to post another deficit, albeit smaller than the previous year.
160 Limited growth in supplies is likely to be more than offset by robust
161 demand. The demand growth trend is expected to stay intact for the 16th
162 consecutive year, buoyed by growth in the auto-catalyst sector and boosted
163 by the tightening emissions legislations and the limited substitution of
164 palladium in diesel vehicles. After a slow start, demand for the ETFs has
165 risen substantially, which further tightens the platinum supply-demand
166 balance.
167 </li>
168 <li class="Cooper palladium"><span class="author">Suki Cooper</span>
169 Palladium prices posted the smallest gains within the complex last year as
170 its weak fundamentals capped upside potential. Price appreciation was
171 buoyed by the rest of the complex performing well and strong speculative
172 interest. These factors are again likely to be key as palladium's
173 supply-demand balance is set to post its sixth year of a surplus greater
174 than 1Moz. Physically-backed ETFs were well received, but a key support
175 for prices will be removed should palladium fall out of favour with
176 investors. Growth in autocatalyst demand remains healthy but is likely to
177 be outpaced by supply from both scrap and mine output and, coupled with
178 large above-ground inventories, any significant price appreciation is
179 likely to be limited.
180 </li>
181 <li class="Davis gold"><span class="author">David Davis</span>
182 Upward pressure on the gold price is likely being driven by the US
183 economic environment, rising oil and commodity prices and a change in the
184 dynamics surrounding supply and demand. These combined factors have
185 resulted in a weakening of the US dollar, which in turn has driven gold
186 higher.
187 <br><br>
188 Turning to supply-and-demand fundamentals, over the longer term, our
189 studies indicate that global gold production (primary supply) will begin
190 to decline as the diminishing number of new reserves fails to compensate
191 for dying mines. The decline in production will likely be accelerated
192 should the gold mining industry continue to incur significant year-on-year
193 inflation rates which are not offset by similar or significantly higher
194 gold price increases.
195 <br><br>
196 We believe central bank sales will likely wither going forward, and the
197 banks could become net buyers. Producer de-hedging has accelerated in
198 recent years. In particular, we expect that AngloGold Ashanti could enter
199 the de-hedging market, contributing an additional 3 to 3.5 million ounces
200 during 2008. We also believe investment demand (ETFs) will continue to be
201 robust during 2008. Volatile and higher gold prices coupled with the
202 expected economic slowdown in the US and Europe could, however, stem
203 jewellery demand in these areas, but demand from China and India will
204 likely remain positive.
205 <br><br>
206 Geopolitical tensions, which generally lead to higher gold prices and
207 price volatility, have heightened with the political turmoil in Pakistan
208 after the assassination of Benazir Bhutto and the cross-border operations
209 of Turkish troops to hunt down Kurdish separatists in Iraq. Tensions are
210 also ever-present between the US and Iran and the US and North Korea.
211 <br><br>
212 Given this longer-term scenario, we believe the supply-demand imbalance
213 going forward will begin to accelerate at an ever-increasing pace into a
214 net deficit, which in turn will likely put significant upward pressure on
215 the gold price.
216 </li>
217 <li class="Davis silver"><span class="author">David Davis</span>
218 Silver prices only rose 14% year-on-year (2006-2007), having put gains of
219 25%, 38% and 42% over the previous three years. We believe silver prices
220 will likely play 'catch up' when compared to the year-on-year increases of
221 the previous years, but also and more importantly, silver prices will
222 likely receive impetus from the upward trend in platinum and gold prices
223 and the investment (ETF) market. In the long term gold and silver prices
224 have been closely correlated. The fundamentals of the silver supply and
225 demand dynamics are unlikely to have a major effect on driving the price.
226 Silver has the potential to break through $20 by the end of the year.
227 </li>
228 <li class="Davis platinum"><span class="author">David Davis</span>
229 Platinum will likely continue its upward trend on the back of the current
230 economic environment just described for gold. In addition, GFMS and
231 Johnson Matthey believe platinum supply will be moving into a deficit
232 position in 2007, mainly as a result of a shortfall in supply from South
233 Africa, which produces some 78% of global platinum supply. Anglo Platinum
234 and Lonmin revised their 2007 and 2008 projections downwards during 2006.
235 South African platinum production was also affected by a series of
236 safety-related shutdowns, industrial action and project delays. We believe
237 the deficit in platinum supply will be prolonged by at least three to four
238 years, which in turn will likely put further upward pressure on the price
239 and, thereafter, continued tight supply and demand dynamics will likely
240 follow.
241 <br><br>
242 Increased vehicle production from China and India, together with the
243 increased likelihood of an ever-increasing switch to diesel powered
244 vehicles in the US, will likely keep prices buoyant going forward.
245 However, GFMS have observed that the recent record high prices have caused
246 a renewed drive to substitute platinum with palladium. GFMS also report
247 manufacturers incorporating palladium in diesel autocatalyst systems.
248 Thrifting and substitution of platinum have been common practices in the
249 past, but they were, in the main, offset by tightening environmental
250 legislation, which generally increases the demand of platinum used per
251 vehicle. Tightened environmental legislation is to be enforced at the end
252 of 2008 in Europe and in 2010 the US.
253 </li>
254 <li class="Davis palladium"><span class="author">David Davis</span>
255 Both Johnson Matthey and GFMS indicate that the demand for palladium is
256 likely to increase by around 2% to 3% in 2007. Notwithstanding a predicted
257 surplus of palladium in 2007, there are abundant stocks of palladium in
258 Russia and Switzerland. The significant supply-demand surplus in the
259 palladium market will likely mean a limited upside price potential for
260 2008. The palladium price rose by 12% year on year (2006-2007). However,
261 we believe the metal could find support with upside potential should
262 autocatalyst manufacturers move swiftly into the substitution of platinum
263 by palladium. Furthermore, palladium prices will likely follow the upward
264 trends of gold and platinum.
265 </li>
266 <li class="De Wet gold"><span class="author">Walter De Wet</span>
267 The current global economic environment remains bullish for gold, but
268 should ensure that volatile conditions remain.
269 <br><br>
270 We see the US economy coming under increased pressure during the first
271 half of 2008. As a result credit spreads should widen further. Combined
272 with sovereign and political risk on the rise in certain countries, we
273 should see support for gold in 2008H1.
274 <br><br>
275 The US dollar's woes are linked to US interest rates declining. The Fed is
276 set to continue easing rates, while the ECB seems unperturbed by slowing
277 economic growth, and is unlikely to cut rates for now.
278 <br><br>
279 Although jewellery demand in major centres showed a decline towards
280 end-2007, this must be a continuous trend before any real price impact
281 will be seen.
282 <br><br>
283 The new futures contract that started trading on the Shanghai Futures
284 exchange is bound to renew interest in gold as an investment in China. We
285 do believe this impact could be large.
286 <br><br>
287 Continued portfolio diversification via commodity investment vehicles
288 should provide support to the metal on the downside.
289 </li>
290 <li class="Fertig all"><span class="author">Peter Fertig</span>
291 There are three factors that play a dominating role as the driving force of
292 precious metals prices. The price of crude oil serves as a good proxy for
293 inflation fears. The next major fundamental factor is the US dollar exchange
294 rate, as metals are priced in this currency. Here, either the US dollar
295 index or the EUR/USD exchange rate has the closest correlation. And finally,
296 precious metals are not necessarily a safe haven. If investors risk appetite
297 drops due to crisis in financial markets, precious metals are often sold to
298 cover losses. The US stock market provides a good indication of risk
299 aversion.
300 <br><br>
301 Crude oil started the year with a bang as it traded at $100/bbl for the
302 first time. However, much of the price increase is based on speculation
303 rather than the underlying supply and demand balance. In 2008, demand is
304 expected to expand less than the consensus view due to a slowdown of G7
305 economies. In China as well, GDP growth is likely to be lower than last
306 year. By the end of this year, Brent is predicted to be trading at $70/bbl.
307 <br><br>
308 Demand from financial investors is far more important than demand from the
309 jewellery industry for the development of precious metal prices. It is often
310 said that investors buy gold as a hedge against rising inflation. However,
311 empirical experience does not bear this out. US inflation has no significant
312 effect on the gold price. Demand from financial investors is largely
313 determined by the US dollar's performance in the currency markets.
314 <br><br>
315 Since the subprime mortgage crisis broke out, what has driven the dollar's
316 weakness is the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates so that the
317 dollar becomes less attractive relative to other currencies. Following the
318 recent weak US economic data and the rise in the unemployment rate to 5%,
319 our US economists anticipate that the Fed will start lowering interest
320 rates more aggressively, cutting the Fed funds rate during the first half of
321 the year in four steps of 25bp each to 3.25%. This means that the Fed Funds
322 target rate is well below the ECB refinancing rate.
323 <br><br>
324 The US dollar is expected to weaken against the euro to 1.53 in Q2, but in
325 H2 the tables will be turned. US GDP growth should pick up again as early as
326 Q2 and further accelerate after the summer, so that the market will no
327 longer expect further interest rate cuts. In the Eurozone on the other hand
328 weaker growth is expected, so that the ECB should reduce the refinancing
329 rate by 25bp. The US dollar is likely to appreciate against the euro to
330 1.43. Precious metals will then face a headwind from falling oil prices and
331 a firmer dollar. They will not be able to withstand this pressure and prices
332 should ease significantly. Silver is likely to perform better than gold in
333 H1 but to perform worse in H2. Due to production problems in South Africa
334 and the demand pattern of the automobile industry, platinum is expected to
335 hold better than palladium.
336 </li>
337 <li class="Hochreiter gold"><span class="author">Rene Hochreiter</span>
338 A slowdown in the creation of new mines, new production and exploration
339 projects should support the price, as well as continued US dollar weakness.
340 </li>
341 <li class="Hochreiter platinum"><span class="author">Rene Hochreiter</span>Continued poor production performances from
342 South Africa's mines, SA government interference with production for safety
343 reasons and inability of new exploration projects to be brought into
344 production on time, together with legislated-driven demand will keep the
345 price firm for some time to come.
346 </li>
347 <li class="Hochreiter palladium"><span class="author">Rene Hochreiter</span>
348 Declining levels of palladium stocks will likely drive the price higher in
349 2008.
350 </li>
351 <li class="Jansen gold"><span class="author">Michael Jansen</span>
352 As we prepare our 2008 commentary for the LBMA annual survey, gold is
353 trading around $875, well above the last official forecast we prepared in
354 October 07 when we had expected gold to average $814 for 2008 (at the time
355 spot gold was around $725). Gold is higher in non-USD terms as well,
356 reflecting gold's own bullish intrinsic fundamentals (falling mine supply,
357 rising cash costs, difficulties in ore body repletion), which continue to be
358 as important as macro thematic drivers such as strong investor demand
359 reflecting gold's store-of-value proposition as a hedge against inflation
360 and USD weakness. With the EUR/USD projected to trade to 1.5500 over 2008,
361 further upside towards $950-$975 is likely. Long liquidation (futures and/or
362 physical) could see the range low tested, but dips are buying opportunities.
363 Indeed, the risks around inflation pressures in 2008H2 are so skewed to the
364 topside that a $975 range top could be seen as too conservative.
365 </li>
366 <li class="Jansen silver"><span class="author">Michael Jansen</span>
367 Silver has less price bullish supply-side fundamentals relative to gold and
368 less robust thematic appeal as well. Indeed, silver can be viewed as a very
369 valuable base metal as opposed to a cheap precious metal given the degree to
370 which it is produced as a by-product of base metal mining, not to mention
371 that it is a less efficient store of value. One of the main reasons many in
372 the market have favoured silver's outperformance in recent times is its
373 lower level of liquidity relative to gold, but so far the OTC market has
374 coped easily with the build in ETF inventory and we see no reason to expect
375 that the physical market will tighten enough to engineer an outperformance
376 in the year ahead. More mine supply (both primary and by-product) will
377 represent a strong cap around $16 and higher.
378 </li>
379 <li class="Jansen platinum"><span class="author">Michael Jansen</span>
380 Regulatory-driven physical demand, a lack of ready substitution in certain
381 applications (for instance diesel autocatalysts), a huge reliance on
382 infrastructure-stressed South Africa for primary production and rising
383 investor demand are stressing the residual volume of above-ground platinum
384 stock and increasingly raising the risk of a significant increase in
385 platinum prices over 2008. Jewellery demand also appears to be less price
386 elastic at current levels (having contracted down to around just 1600-1800mt
387 from around 2800mt 7-8 years ago) and is adding to a positive S&D framework
388 that appears to present limited opportunity for lower prices in 2008. Given
389 liquidity constraints it is not difficult at all to see prices above $1,700
390 in 2008, even if only briefly.
391 </li>
392 <li class="Jansen palladium"><span class="author">Michael Jansen</span>
393 Palladium is to platinum as silver is to gold: too much supply and not
394 enough demand to warrant an exceptionally bullish price outlook. However
395 there is no doubt that the excess of above-ground inventory is dwindling
396 and that palladium has significant scope to continue to take market share
397 off platinum in diesel applications, already having significantly
398 displaced platinum in the gasoline sector. The market though is wary about
399 trading the "ifs" in palladium, as recent rallies have struggled for
400 momentum and lagged the more bullish (from an S&D perspective)
401 platinum market. We are wary though that any slowdown in destocking from
402 Russian producers could easily see palladium catch up, especially if ETF
403 demand continues to build, albeit off a low base.
404 </li>
405 <li class="Kendall gold"><span class="author">Tom Kendall</span>
406 Most key drivers for the gold price will remain bullish in 2008. Interest
407 rate differentials between the US and Europe will turn negative, putting
408 further pressure on the dollar. Inflation is rising, credit contagion is
409 spreading to bond insurers, and geopolitical instability is rife. In
410 addition, commodities remain very much in vogue with almost every category
411 of fund: hedge, mutual, pension, trust, sovereign wealth…as well as with
412 individual investors. The expected launch of an ETF in the Middle East will
413 further broaden investor access.
414 <br><br>
415 On the bearish side, the influence of producer de-hedging will diminish and
416 high and volatile prices will see bouts of weakness in jewellery demand,
417 whilst a US recession could see the oil price fall back into the $70s. We
418 also remain wary of sharp corrections in emerging market equities that could
419 be replicated in gold. Nevertheless, for now at least the multi-year bull
420 market is intact and $1,000 gold is a realistic target.
421 </li>
422 <li class="Kendall silver"><span class="author">Tom Kendall</span>
423 Gold's schizophrenic sister will increasingly be torn between its industrial
424 and precious personalities this year, but the latter is likely to win more
425 often than not.
426 <br><br>
427 On the face of it, the fundamentals are less than encouraging: slowing
428 economic growth rates are likely to affect consumption in electronics,
429 demand from the photographic sector is expected to fall further, and there
430 is little to support an upturn in silverware fabrication. At the same time a
431 meaningful supply response to record prices will start to be felt. The
432 influence of the gold price, however, is likely to outweigh all of these
433 factors.
434 <br><br>
435 There will almost certainly be short periods when the silver price
436 out-performs relative to gold. However, over the year as a whole the white
437 metal may well lag behind, with the gold:silver ratio widening towards 60 as
438 a result.
439 </li>
440 <li class="Kendall platinum"><span class="author">Tom Kendall</span>
441 The supply/demand fundamentals have a very direct bearing on the platinum
442 price and the fundamentals remain highly supportive.
443 <br><br>
444 South African producers should, on paper, be able to deliver a significant
445 boost to output this year, but the kind of problems that were seen
446 throughout 2007 - strikes, process-equipment breakdowns, shaft closures for
447 safety reasons, etc. - are again likely to prove disruptive. The situation
448 in Zimbabwe is hardly reassuring either.
449 <br><br>
450 On the demand front, tightening emissions limits plus vehicle sales growth
451 in Asia and central Europe should see use of platinum in autocatalysts
452 continue to rise in 2008, despite ongoing substitution in both diesel and
453 gasoline catalyst systems.
454 <br><br>
455 As a result, CTAs, hedge funds and the general public in Japan are expected
456 to remain very friendly towards platinum, and platinum exchange traded funds
457 are likely to suck at least another 100,000 oz of much-needed metal out of
458 the market.
459 </li>
460 <li class="Kendall palladium"><span class="author">Tom Kendall</span>
461 Bearing in mind its not-too-distant history, it is perhaps a little
462 dangerous to forecast a year of relative stability for the palladium price,
463 but that is the most likely outcome. We see no reason for patient long-term
464 investors in the metal (of whom there are many) to abandon their support;
465 neither do we foresee any marked change in fundamentals that would lead to a
466 tightening of availability. Onwards and slowly upwards then, with just an
467 occasional and slightly nervous glance back at 2000/2001.
468 </li>
469 <li class="Klapwijk gold"><span class="author">Philip Klapwijk</span>
470 The credit markets crisis has provided fresh impetus to the gold bull
471 market, with the yellow metal benefiting from the ensuing flight to quality.
472 The second order effect of the strains the crisis is placing on the
473 financial system is looser monetary policy, particularly in the United
474 States. The Fed also is being forced into making interest rate cuts because
475 the US economy is headed towards the rocks, a development in no small
476 measure related to fallout from the sub-prime debacle. Recession in the
477 United States means lower stock prices and a weaker dollar - gold's two
478 largest competitors are therefore likely to under-perform. Throw into this
479 mix a nasty rise in inflation, related high oil prices and continued
480 geopolitical uncertainty, and it is easy to see why investment demand is
481 likely to grow in 2008. A broadening of the gold investment market should
482 more than cope with the headwinds coming from what is likely to turn out to
483 be a very difficult year for fabrication demand, especially its jewellery
484 component.
485 </li>
486 <li class="Klapwijk silver"><span class="author">Philip Klapwijk</span>
487 Silver is likely to be pushed in two opposite directions during 2008; the
488 metal will face upward pressure from investment demand but worsening
489 supply/demand fundamentals will at the same time militate for lower prices.
490 Investors are likely to have the upper hand, although strong growth in mine
491 production and a slide in fabrication, especially industrial demand due to
492 slower economic growth will act as a considerable drag. Overall, it is
493 difficult not to see silver following gold's lead higher this year. However,
494 this is likely to be accompanied by continued high price volatility and a
495 wider trading range than for its more valuable yellow cousin.
496 </li>
497 <li class="Klapwijk platinum"><span class="author">Philip Klapwijk</span>
498 As was the case in 2007, the main issue this year for platinum is expected
499 to be South African supply and the ongoing uncertainties regarding output
500 from the country's mines. This gives an upward bias to prices, even before
501 one takes into account the metal's tight bullion stock position and
502 traditionally strong correlation with gold. Therefore, although, in the
503 absence of a major setback to South African mine production, the platinum
504 market is likely to record a surplus this year (which will grow in 2009),
505 this is unlikely to be enough to alleviate underlying market tightness and
506 thus darken materially the price outlook.
507 </li>
508 <li class="Klapwijk palladium"><span class="author">Philip Klapwijk</span>
509 Palladium's supposed Achilles heel remains the large bullion inventories
510 that exist in Zurich and Moscow. Nevertheless, the threat that these are
511 present should not be overstated, particularly if the metal is in reasonably
512 strong hands. After all, these abundant stocks have not prevented
513 substantial price increases in the last two years. In addition, it should
514 be noted that the palladium market is likely to register a substantial
515 deficit in 2008 before any bullion stock mobilisation is taken into account.
516 This will occur due to growth in fabrication demand from autocatalysts,
517 electronics and jewellery (with in all three cases substitution playing an
518 important role) and in spite of a meaningful jump in supply from
519 autocatalyst recycling.
520 </li>
521 <li class="Murenbeeld gold"><span class="author">Martin Murenbeeld</span>
522 The factors we expect to drive gold higher number eight, and other than
523 occasional shifts in importance these haven't changed in recent years. The
524 most difficult factor to forecast is (1) the geopolitical one, which is
525 partly responsible for the surge in price late 2007-early 2008. I noted last
526 year that (2) the supply outlook is benign, furthermore, whereas (3)
527 infrastructural demand developments in Asia are quite revolutionary in my
528 opinion. This is underscored by the opening of the Shanghai gold futures
529 market. I continue to be a dollar bear: (4) the dollar is seriously
530 overvalued against the Asian currencies and must decline further. If/when it
531 does, we expect to see demand in Asia (already stimulated by growing wealth)
532 increase more. Gold is still very depressed on (5) an inflation-adjusted
533 basis, so has upside room on this account. Dollar reserves in the world are
534 'excessive' and will continue to be (6) diversified. Oil-producing countries
535 are benefiting from high oil prices and some of this wealth will find its
536 way into gold. The boom in commodity demand should continue, and while I
537 don't think gold is a 'commodity' as such, it will benefit indirectly.
538 Cycles (7) in the gold price last many years, and gold is only in year
539 seven. My ace-in-the-hole is (8) monetary reflation: economic weakness would
540 hurt the gold price were it not for expected interest rate cuts and monetary
541 infusions to alleviate credit market problems. A financial crisis would be
542 dramatically positive for the gold price.
543 <br><br>
544 Our 2008 year-average would be higher were we not a little concerned about
545 how the market will handle a potential rise in the dollar versus the euro,
546 if it came to that. Too much Fed focus on 'inflation' and not enough on
547 'recession' would also not benefit gold.
548 </li>
549 <li class="Norman gold"><span class="author">Ross Norman</span>
550 Following the stonking 30% rise in 2007, we remain manifestly bullish for
551 gold prices and forecast that the market is set for another bumper year in
552 2008. Many of the factors that have taken us to record highs are likely to
553 remain in play, but more so: specifically, accelerating investment demand of
554 gold ETFs, safe-haven buying on ongoing concerns about the stability of the
555 economy - but perhaps most importantly, rising inflation. Geopolitical
556 tension may ease with the departure of Bush from the White House, and indeed
557 the dollar may have seen the largest part of its decline, which could
558 mitigate things. However, with mine supply remaining static, central bank
559 sales comparatively limited, and the demand side fundamentals looking
560 positive, we believe further significant gains are afoot with jewellery
561 demand providing a welcome drag on runaway prices.
562 </li>
563 <li class="Norman silver"><span class="author">Ross Norman</span>
564 So often in the shadow of gold, silver has recorded impressive gains over
565 the last four years. As primarily a by-product of base metals mining, it
566 remains moderately price inelastic, and it can expect rising mine production
567 based upon increases in production of the host metals, primarily copper.
568 Silver's price gains, however, can be attributed to solid demand-side
569 investment, and that appetite looks set to continue in 2008 as the race
570 between the old world and the emerging economies to corner the world's
571 natural resources intensifies... be it a mine or simply physical metal. The
572 fly in the ointment may be the slowing global economy and, more so than in
573 gold, this could signal a more modest increase than in former years.
574 </li>
575 <li class="Norman platinum"><span class="author">Ross Norman</span>
576 Platinum continues to benefit from a solid fundamental base. Inventories at
577 the start of 2008 are low, and with the market expected to sustain a deficit
578 between supply and demand over the year, prices can be expected to remain
579 high. Whether there is sufficient power in the market to sustain platinum at
580 levels much above $1,600 is open to doubt, however, especially as it is
581 experiencing increasing challenges from palladium in the important demand
582 sectors of jewellery and the automotive sector, notably in diesel, where
583 until relatively recently it has been the only PGM in use. Mine supply is
584 increasing, particularly in South Africa, but the market is not expected to
585 move into a surplus until 2009, even if economic activity slows. Although
586 there is frequent reference to the struggle being sustained by indigenous
587 North American auto producers, the global automotive sector is relatively
588 robust and will continue to underpin the market.
589 </li>
590 <li class="Norman palladium"><span class="author">Ross Norman</span>
591 The comparative non-performance of palladium prices is a surprise given the
592 significant price differential to platinum. With many automakers able to
593 switch between PGMs and with metals stocks tightening (albeit slowly),
594 palladium looks ready to join the commodity bull run, if somewhat modestly.
595 We are bullish for palladium in 2008 and expect the auto sector to continue
596 to drive the market higher (pun intended) as palladium makes inroads (pun
597 intended) into platinum usage on diesel catalytic converters.
598 </li>
599 <li class="O'Connell gold"><span class="author">Rhona O'Connell</span>
600 The heady days at the start of 2008 have generated a euphoric response in
601 the wider markets, with the result that forecasts of ever-rising prices are
602 almost becoming self-fulfilling. There is a panoply of supportive factors
603 in the market, but it is important also to remember that gold not only
604 enjoys investment and speculative support, but also has an independent set
605 of 'traditional' supply-demand fundamentals of its own. High and volatile
606 prices have been undermining this balance, with physical demand filling in a
607 number of price-responsive regions, notably the Indian Sub-Continent where
608 demand has not only slowed but scrap is being returned. There is a risk
609 that once the inflow of investor funds slows - or even reverses - then a
610 price fall could be sharp.
611 <br><br>
612 In early 2008 gold is benefiting from renewed dollar bearishness,
613 inflationary fears in an increasing number of countries (although real
614 interest rates are by no means all negative), geopolitical tensions and
615 concerns over continued contagion form the credit market problems, plus a
616 positive view overall with respect to the commodities sector. These are
617 easily enough to propel prices through $900 and onwards towards $1,000, but
618 any such challenge will be professionally driven. For a solid physical
619 support base to develop gold needs to lose some of its speculative excess.
620 </li>
621 <li class="O'Connell silver"><span class="author">Rhona O'Connell</span>
622 Silver's fundamental background is less robust than that of gold and it,
623 too, has been enjoying inflated prices that have been boosted by investment
624 and speculative interest. The balance between traditional supply and
625 industrial demand is likely to be in surplus during 2008, and this
626 theoretically points to lower prices, but while gold remains buoyant, silver
627 is likely to follow suit. It is a notoriously volatile metal, which tends to
628 mean that speculators often trade it as a geared method of playing
629 gold-price movements. Photographic demand continues to fall, although this
630 is being offset by a proliferation of industrial uses; equally, however,
631 mine supply is on the increase. When gold runs out of zip, then the silver
632 market will be a very dangerous place to be.
633 </li>
634 <li class="O'Connell platinum"><span class="author">Rhona O'Connell</span>
635 Platinum continues to benefit from a solid fundamental base. Inventories at
636 the start of 2008 are low, and with the market expected to sustain a deficit
637 between supply and demand over the year, prices can be expected to remain
638 high. Whether there is sufficient power in the market to sustain platinum at
639 levels much above $1,600 is open to doubt, however, especially as it is
640 experiencing increasing challenges from palladium in the important demand
641 sectors of jewellery and the automotive sector, notably in diesel, where
642 until relatively recently it has been the only PGM in use. Mine supply is
643 increasing, particularly in South Africa, but the market is not expected to
644 move into a surplus until 2009, even if economic activity slows. Although
645 there is frequent reference to the struggle being sustained by indigenous
646 North American auto producers, the global automotive sector is relatively
647 robust and will continue to underpin the market.
648 </li>
649 <li class="O'Connell palladium"><span class="author">Rhona O'Connell</span>
650 Palladium continues to run a high inventory level, but the underlying
651 fundamentals of the market are relatively strong. There is always a question
652 mark as to whether Russia will be a supplier from its inventory, which has
653 in the past helped to keep palladium price action reasonably muted, but the
654 mood in the markets is such that a test of $400 cannot be ruled out.
655 Industrial demand remains healthy, underpinned by the automotive sector,
656 jewellery and electronics. In theory the high level of inventory should
657 suggest that palladium would underperform platinum over the year, but
658 palladium's encroachment into platinum's territory in the diesel sector
659 suggests that it will remain competitive.
660 </li>
661 <li class="Panizzutti gold"><span class="author">Frederic Panizzutti</span>
662 In 2007, gold rose over 30%. From a less predictable scenario over the last
663 2 years, mainly due to geopolitical tensions, the market now shifted into a
664 more rational and forecastable environment. The prevailing factors this year
665 remain a weaker USD, the subprime crisis and further diversifications by
666 both the official and private sectors. We expect the USD to weaken further
667 on the back of slower growth and broader disinvestment out of the USD into
668 assets which are negatively correlated to the USD and/or not sensitive to
669 the performance of the US economy. The spreading impact of the subprime
670 crisis remains a major concern and the collateral damages will unfortunately
671 be far-reaching, spread globally and impact several sectors affecting global
672 liquidity. Furthermore various central banks have expressed their intention
673 to reduce some of their USD exposure and to consider an increase of their
674 gold reserves. These factors, amongst others, should lead to additional
675 capital inflow into gold as a safe haven. Several volatile trading sessions
676 with erratic moves are ahead of us, and we would not be surprised to see
677 gold moving briefly above the $1,000 level.
678 </li>
679 <li class="Panizzutti silver"><span class="author">Frederic Panizzutti</span>
680 With as little as 13.5% price performance in 2007, silver disappointed. We
681 had expected silver to trade in the shadow of gold and to close the year
682 substantially higher. But the physical surplus and an absence of substantial
683 investment interest stopped silver from trading higher. The risk for renewed
684 supply/demand imbalances in 2008 will probably prevent silver from moving
685 significantly higher. Nevertheless, the expected pressure on the USD and the
686 positive influences from the other precious metals might artificially help
687 silver to trade toward $19. But the upside trend should remain limited due
688 to the substantial physical availability. Rallies might be countered by
689 sharp profit takings. We expect silver throughout 2008 to shift from active
690 and volatile trading into apathetic sessions.
691 </li>
692 <li class="Panizzutti platinum"><span class="author">Frederic Panizzutti</span>
693 Platinum rose around 34% in 2007 and again is set to challenge the other
694 precious metals in 2008. The very fragile and unstable equilibrium in its
695 tight supply-demand balance will remain a key concern and probably the
696 underlying reason for several rallies over the course of the year. Increased
697 appetite for ETFs will further tighten the market and emphasize the risk for
698 periods of dry supply into possibly increasing demand in the Asian region;
699 the possibility of a weaker USD is likely to be another supportive factor.
700 Any rally would trigger a consistent but short-lived increase in lending
701 rates due to tighter short-term metal availability. Volatility and erratic
702 trading will be the main concerns and physical squeezes the name of the
703 game.
704 </li>
705 <li class="Panizzutti palladium"><span class="author">Frederic Panizzutti</span>
706 Palladium has been the poorest performer in the group with as little as a
707 +9.6% movement in 2007. We are not expecting a very different pattern next
708 year. More than sufficient physical metal availability will continue to cap
709 the upsides. Still, as a matter of diversification, palladium might profit
710 from marginal money inflow when bound to the other metals in a basket. We
711 expect palladium to trade, as in 2007, in a narrow band and to provide only
712 little surprise to the market.
713 </li>
714 <li class="Prest platinum"><span class="author">Rupert Prest</span>
715 The outlook for platinum remains strong, with any dampening in demand in the
716 industrial/motor sector and jewellery sector caused by a global slowdown
717 offset by strong investor demand. We expect the funds to have a healthy
718 appetite for commodities, certainly for the first 6 months of 2008, and
719 Chinese demand to remain robust. With the expectation for higher prices
720 across the metals complex, a significant move into uncharted territory is
721 very much on the cards and we forecast a high average for the year at
722 $1,525.
723 </li>
724 <li class="Prest palladium"><span class="author">Rupert Prest</span>
725 Palladium, though fundamentally less attractive than platinum, is expected
726 to coattail higher and try to push through $400. The oversupply will surely
727 weigh heavily on any rally, but investor demand should be strong under $350.
728 </li>
729 <li class="Reade gold"><span class="author">John Reade</span>
730 Speculative and investment demand lifted gold to new all-time highs early in
731 2008. At $870, we consider gold to be about $150-200 above fair value, by
732 which we mean the level at which jewellery demand would support - and scrap
733 supply would stop pressuring - the gold price. This does not mean that gold
734 will immediately fall, but it does make the metal vulnerable to a sharp
735 correction. We do expect further gains in the first half of the year, driven
736 by more safe-haven buying and dollar weakness as the credit crunch triggers
737 a US and global growth slowdown. A large producer buy-back also could play a
738 role in pushing gold to its high, although the number of potential
739 candidates is decreasing. But we expect gold to trade lower in the second
740 half of 2008 as dollar strength, at least against European currencies, trims
741 some of its gains. Keep an eye on Shanghai futures exchange turnover.
742 </li>
743 <li class="Reade silver"><span class="author">John Reade</span>
744 Silver has fallen from favour over the past year, at least relative to gold,
745 as investors have given up hope of a physical squeeze in silver. This had
746 been expected to be triggered by inflows into exchange-traded funds, but the
747 squeeze failed to materialise despite substantial inflows. Silver's nasty
748 habit of sharply underperforming gold when both metals correct is also
749 deterring investors from holding this volatile metal. Silver mine supply,
750 unlike that for gold, is increasing due to new primary and especially
751 by-product output. Silver demand remains dogged by structural declines in
752 imaging and has become overly dependent on industrial demand, likely to be a
753 disadvantage as global economic growth slows. Finally, we see far less
754 safe-haven buying of silver, not least because of onerous storage issues
755 involved in holding relatively modest stashes of the metal. Keep an eye on
756 the gold:silver ratio.
757 </li>
758 <li class="Reade platinum"><span class="author">John Reade</span>
759 Platinum has the best supply-and-demand fundamentals of all the metals we
760 forecast, excepting perhaps rhodium. Although some platinum applications are
761 sensitive to slowing global economic growth, many are not. Overall demand
762 should hold up well in 2008, especially if Chinese appetite for platinum
763 remains as undiminished as trading in the first few days of the year
764 suggests it will. Supply is likely to disappoint again as South African
765 miners struggle with technical, staffing, safety and bureaucratic issues.
766 Platinum, like other precious metals, is vulnerable to speculative long
767 liquidation, and any correction in gold in the second half of 2008 will drag
768 platinum lower as well, although we expect platinum to be the best relative
769 performer amongst the four precious metals this year. Keep an eye on ETF
770 inflows and perovskites.
771 </li>
772 <li class="Reade palladium"><span class="author">John Reade</span>
773 Platinum's ugly sister is unlikely to get an invitation to the party this
774 year, and should continue to languish well below its all-time highs seen
775 early in the decade. Investors should not, however, entirely lose hope. Once
776 Russian stock sales end sometime in the not-too-distant future, and assuming
777 that the metal's special properties and jewellery allure continue to attract
778 scientific investigation on the one hand and marketing efforts on the other,
779 then this metal should eventually shrug off its decades of underperformance.
780 Just don't expect any sustained strength in 2008. Keep an eye on Chinese
781 imports.
782 </li>
783 <li class="Rhodes gold"><span class="author">Jeffrey Rhodes</span>
784 Gold posted a stunning performance in 2007, gaining $201, or 31% year on
785 year with the average price rising by 15%, and early trading in 2008 has
786 seen the yellow metal surge to a fresh all-time high of $891. The usual
787 suspects of geopolitical tensions, rampant oil prices, and an ever-weaker
788 dollar remain very much in play, but they have now been joined by concerns
789 over the global banking system following last year's subprime crisis, and
790 the investment flows into gold have intensified. However gold has now
791 entered the 7th year of its current bull market, a record bettered only
792 during the period from 1973 to 1980, when gold rose from $65 to $850. Once
793 that particular 'bubble' had burst, gold spent 20 years on the back foot as
794 it retraced towards $250, and my concern remains 'what happens when this
795 bull run reverses?", because financial history always repeats itself. I can
796 see the current momentum taking gold as high as $975 in the first half of
797 2008. However, with the prospect of the US Presidential election in November
798 likely to give a boost to the ailing greenback, and physical demand for gold
799 jewellery described as 'depressed at best', I can see a reversal in
800 sentiment in mid-year.
801 </li>
802 <li class="Rhodes silver"><span class="author">Jeffrey Rhodes</span>
803 While silver also posted decent gains in 2007, rising 14% year on year and
804 16% on average, it clearly lagged gold as concerns over the impact of rising
805 energy costs on global economic activity and demand weighed on the 'most
806 industrial precious metal'. With talk of economic slowdown, and even
807 recession in the US, silver could be caught between a strong gold price and
808 (possibly) weaker base metals. However, as it is less than one third of its
809 way towards the all-time record high of $50 seen in January 1980, as opposed
810 to gold and platinum that have both posted records highs in January, silver
811 has a lot of upside, with the possibility of a spike above $20. However, it
812 also remains the most volatile metal in the sector, with price prediction a
813 less-than-exact science.
814 </li>
815 <li class="Smith platinum"><span class="author">Daniel Smith</span>
816 We are forecasting that the upward momentum in platinum prices carries on
817 through this year. Part of the reason for this ongoing tightness is that
818 consumption growth has consistently outpaced supply. The key driver of
819 demand is the automotive sector, accounting for 61% of consumption last
820 year. Prospects for this sector look rosy, given increasingly stringent
821 environmental legislation. Furthermore, autocatalyst demand is being helped
822 by expansions in the gasoline vehicle fleet in Asia as well as solid sales
823 of diesel vehicles in Europe. These factors should more than offset
824 thrifting and weak vehicle sales in North America.
825 <br><br>
826 Supply developments are also helping. Supply fell by 2% in 2007 due to lower
827 output from both of the major producing countries - South Africa and Russia.
828 Looking ahead, high platinum prices, capacity expansions and improved
829 recoveries should all result in a pick-up in global supply and we are
830 forecasting 2% growth in 2008, although this will not be enough to close the
831 gap on demand.
832 <br><br>
833 Adding to this physical tightness, platinum is also benefiting from the
834 continued investor interest in commodities as an asset class. Figures from
835 London-listed ETF Securities show that physical holdings for its platinum
836 ETF, which was launched in April 2007, stood at 140,000 ounces towards the
837 end of the year.
838 </li>
839 <li class="Steel gold"><span class="author">James Steel</span>
840 Gold is a traditional safe haven in times of financial, economic and even
841 geopolitical stress. The ongoing crisis in the credit market and its impact
842 on the broader financial market has increased investor uncertainty, and is
843 in our view a major driver of the gold rally: for as long as the credit
844 crisis continues, gold is likely to be well bid. In an effort to combat the
845 credit crunch and ward off a possible recession, the Fed, as noted by HSBC's
846 macro economics team, may lower the Fed Funds target to 3%. This should
847 support gold in the near term. Higher commodity prices are also supportive
848 of gold. Potential developments in the bullion and currency market may weigh
849 on gold later in the year. A recovery in the US dollar, which HSBC currency
850 analysts believe possible, and contracting jewellery demand in the emerging
851 world and an increase in scrap may weaken prices later in the year.
852 </li>
853 <li class="Steel silver"><span class="author">James Steel</span>
854 Silver prices will largely track gold but, unlike gold, silver mine output
855 will likely rise over 20mn oz based on mine projections. The increase will
856 mostly likely come from Latin America. Jewellery demand also began to weaken
857 in 2007 due to high prices, a trend we believe may continue into 2008.
858 Despite expectations of a production/consumption surplus, we expect silver
859 to follow gold with a lag.
860 </li>
861 <li class="Steel platinum"><span class="author">James Steel</span>
862 Platinum continues to have in our view the most bullish fundamentals of the
863 precious metals complex. Mine supply, although expanding, is growing at a
864 much slower pace than that projected by the large South African producers.
865 This is due primarily to technical issues and safety-related shutdowns.
866 Despite substitution with palladium and thrifting by autocatalyst
867 manufacturers, demand from the automotive sector continues to grow robustly.
868 Jewellery demand, we believe, has softened as result of high prices, but
869 overall we now expect supply/demand balances to remain tight in 2008.
870 Although we are projecting a small production/consumption surplus for 2008
871 of less than 200,000 oz, we do not believe it will be sufficient to impede
872 further price gains.
873 </li>
874 <li class="Steel palladium"><span class="author">James Steel</span>
875 Although demand from the automotive sector remains robust, we expect the
876 palladium market to remain in surplus for this year as a result of steady
877 Russian stockpile sales. The price of palladium, in our view, has been
878 largely supported by the strength in the platinum price. Should the
879 commodity markets soften, we expect that palladium would show the first
880 signs of weakness. However, due to recent price appreciation in platinum,
881 palladium will be higher than its inherent fundamentals would suggest.
882 </li>
883 <li class="Stevens platinum"><span class="author">Glyn Stevens</span>
884 Solid industrial demand, likely production problems, increasing investment
885 opportunities and global unrest all point to $2,000 platinum. As crazy as
886 this may seem, and however brief it may last, this represents less than a
887 35% increase in price from the year's opening, a move certainly not
888 unprecedented in commodities recently. Reality may then dawn, perhaps
889 substitution will set in wherever possible, and the rally may fizzle out.
890 Recession may even bite in the developed nations of the world - hence there
891 could be a retracement in price in the latter stages of 2008.
892 </li>
893 <li class="Stevens palladium"><span class="author">Glyn Stevens</span>
894 The main thing going for palladium is the meteoric rise in platinum. This
895 will both encourage substitution by industrials and buying of the "cheapest"
896 pgm by speculators. However, fundamentals remain very poor. Hence any spike
897 in price should be short lived.
898 </li>
899 <li class="Takai all"><span class="author">Bob Takai</span>
900 The Fed's dilemma remains the equally unpleasant choice of recession or
901 inflation. Until the devastating effects of the sub-prime crisis work their
902 way through the world's financial system, the Fed will continue to cut
903 rates, risking inflation and accepting a weaker dollar. Commodity prices
904 will continue to be the principal beneficiary of this confluence of events.
905 <br><br>
906 As an asset class we remain bullish for commodities, in particular gold, oil
907 and the agricultural sector. Strong institutional demand from index and fund
908 investors will underpin investment in gold and oil as the combined effects
909 of political uncertainty, terrorist activity and the potential for supply
910 disruptions plague these markets. The agricultural sector will continue to
911 react positively to the effects of grain shortages brought about through
912 demand from China as well as the diversion of grain feed stocks for the
913 production of ethanol.
914 <br><br>
915 The threat of a global recession will increase if the US does not act
916 prudently and convincingly to restore confidence in its financial house. In
917 that event, extreme sell-offs in all dollar-denominated assets will occur,
918 and 2008 will be remembered as the most volatile year in a decade.
919 </li>
920 <li class="Tully gold"><span class="author">Edel Tully</span>
921 The rush to own gold in the current climate and the belief that the bull run
922 will be long term in nature is perfectly captured by the depth of investor
923 interest as reflected in the weekly exchange participation and ETF
924 accumulation. It will be impossible to remove speculative activity from the
925 gold price equation of 2008. However, it is essential to throw in a weak
926 USD, a mounting oil price, falling interest rates, rising inflation, and
927 credit market turmoil into the price mix. When occurring in tandem, these
928 are powerful forces for considerably higher moves in the yellow metal.
929 Persistent sharp volatility movements will act to significantly dampen
930 physical demand, but restricted mine supply along with further producer
931 buy-backs will continue to offer support. The health of the global financial
932 economy, in addition to the direction and the pace of USD movements against
933 the EUR, will be one of the major drivers in the sustainability of this
934 rally in 2008.
935 </li>
936 <li class="Tully silver"><span class="author">Edel Tully</span>
937 Our over-riding belief is that silver will continue to play sideshow against
938 gold, and while the metal may appreciate to $18 this year, gold will retain
939 the title of chief gainer. Its fundamental attributes will not be the prime
940 driver of price and rather contagion from the precious metals complex will
941 greatly influence silver's price path. Sombre physical demand will act to
942 put some constraint on price rallies. Greater investor participation in
943 commodities, along with a supportive macroeconomic environment fueling the
944 precious metal group, will be the key ingredients for silver to trend
945 higher, but not at meteoric or parabolic levels.
946 </li>
947 <li class="Tully platinum"><span class="author">Edel Tully</span>
948 The surge in speculative activity and the inherent fundamental market
949 tightness means that a backwardation environment for platinum is never far
950 away. Platinum ETF investors firmly signalled their bullish attitude in
951 2007, and their participation could more than double in the year ahead.
952 China, as the chief global jewellery purchaser, remains price insensitive to
953 elevated movements of platinum into this region observed from official
954 import data and notably higher turnover on the Shanghai Gold Exchange.
955 However, demand from other regions is firmly price elastic and jewellery
956 off-take will suffer. Diesel penetration in the EU market continues to grow
957 at the expense of gasoline and the US is slowly waving the flag for future
958 diesel adoption; however, thrifting and substitution will remain
959 commonplace. The continuing safety drive by South African unions is likely
960 to escalate in 2008, thereby contributing to an already-challenged supply
961 environment and an elevated platinum price.
962 </li>
963 <li class="Tully palladium"><span class="author">Edel Tully</span>
964 Palladium will remain very much in platinum's shadow, and the metal's
965 preference to linger largely in a sideways trading pattern for extended
966 periods will continue. Even if speculative participation remains
967 considerable, the large surplus in the market will be a sufficient cap
968 against palladium reaching $500 in 2008. Fast-growing auto markets such as
969 China, Russia and Eastern Europe will add firm support. However, weighing
970 down this escalation will be pressurised US demand and the danger of ripple
971 effects in a borderless global economy. Furthermore, the gasoline-dominated
972 US market is moving increasingly towards compact vehicles, with smaller
973 engines and, in turn, lower PGM requirements. The wildcard in the mix could
974 have been the actions of Russian stock flows. However, we do not believe
975 that this will be a factor for 2008, and is more likely to manifest towards
976 the close of the decade.
977 </li>
978 </ul>
979 <h2 id="metal">Gold</h2>
980 <table id="Gold" class="forecast sortable">
981 <thead>
982 <tr>
983 <th></th>
984 <th>high</th>
985 <th>low</th>
986 <th>average</th>
987 </tr>
988 </thead>
989 <tbody>
990 <tr class="Biondi" onclick="showcomments(this)">
991 <td class="left">Adrien Biondi <span class="company">Commerzbank International SA</span></td>
992 <td>$900</td>
993 <td>$760</td>
994 <td>$830</td>
995 </tr>
996 <tr class="Briggs" onclick="showcomments(this)">
997 <td class="left">Stephen Briggs <span class="company">SGCIB</span></td>
998 <td>$900</td>
999 <td>$760</td>
1000 <td>$830</td>
1001 </tr>
1002 <tr class="Christian" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1003 <td class="left">Jeffrey Christian <span class="company">CPM Group</span></td>
1004 <td>$1,060</td>
1005 <td>$770 </td>
1006 <td>$850</td>
1007 </tr>
1008 <tr class="Cooper" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1009 <td class="left">Suki Cooper <span class="company">Barclays Capital</span></td>
1010 <td>$1,000</td>
1011 <td>$690 </td>
1012 <td>$840</td>
1013 </tr>
1014 <tr class="Davis" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1015 <td class="left">David Davis <span class="company">Credit Suisse Standard Securities</span></td>
1016 <td>$1,110</td>
1017 <td>$760 </td>
1018 <td>$950</td>
1019 </tr>
1020 <tr class="De Wet" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1021 <td class="left">Walter De Wet <span class="company">Standard Bank</span></td>
1022 <td>$980</td>
1023 <td>$700 </td>
1024 <td>$835</td>
1025 </tr>
1026 <tr class="Fertig" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1027 <td class="left">Peter Fertig <span class="company">Dresdner Bank</span></td>
1028 <td>$1,000</td>
1029 <td>$800</td>
1030 <td>$920</td>
1031 </tr>
1032 <tr class="Hochreiter" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1033 <td class="left">Rene Hochreiter <span class="company">James Allen</span></td>
1034 <td>$1,150</td>
1035 <td>$840</td>
1036 <td>$1,050</td>
1037 </tr>
1038 <tr class="Jansen" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1039 <td class="left">Michael Jansen <span class="company">JPMorgan Chase Bank</span></td>
1040 <td>$975</td>
1041 <td>$775</td>
1042 <td>$814</td>
1043 </tr>
1044 <tr class="Kendall" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1045 <td class="left">Tom Kendall <span class="company">Mitsubishi Corporation</span></td>
1046 <td>$1,025</td>
1047 <td>$780 </td>
1048 <td>$920</td>
1049 </tr>
1050 <tr class="Klapwijk" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1051 <td class="left">Philip Klapwijk <span class="company">GFMS Ltd</span></td>
1052 <td>$1,001 </td>
1053 <td>$810 </td>
1054 <td>$866</td>
1055 </tr>
1056 <tr class="Murenbeeld" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1057 <td class="left">Martin Murenbeeld <span class="company">Dundee Economics</span></td>
1058 <td>$1,015 </td>
1059 <td>$775 </td>
1060 <td>$890</td>
1061 </tr>
1062 <tr class="Norman" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1063 <td class="left">Ross Norman <span class="company">TheBullionDesk</span></td>
1064 <td>$1,250 </td>
1065 <td>$840 </td>
1066 <td>$976</td>
1067 </tr>
1068 <tr class="O'Connell" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1069 <td class="left">Rhona O'Connell <span class="company">ROC Consultancy Ltd.</span></td>
1070 <td>$950 </td>
1071 <td>$730 </td>
1072 <td>$880</td>
1073 </tr>
1074 <tr class="Panizzutti" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1075 <td class="left">Frederic Panizzutti <span class="company">MKS Finance S.A.</span></td>
1076 <td>$1,001 </td>
1077 <td>$780 </td>
1078 <td>$872</td>
1079 </tr>
1080 <tr class="Reade" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1081 <td class="left">John Reade <span class="company">UBS Investment Bank</span></td>
1082 <td>$1,000 </td>
1083 <td>$700 </td>
1084 <td>$825</td>
1085 </tr>
1086 <tr class="Rhodes" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1087 <td class="left">Jeffrey Rhodes <span class="company">INTL Commodities</span></td>
1088 <td>$975 </td>
1089 <td>$660 </td>
1090 <td>$755</td>
1091 </tr>
1092 <tr class="Steel" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1093 <td class="left">James Steel <span class="company">HSBC Bank USA NA</span></td>
1094 <td>$950 </td>
1095 <td>$700 </td>
1096 <td>$800</td>
1097 </tr>
1098 <tr class="Takai" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1099 <td class="left">Bob Takai <span class="company">Sumitomo Corporation</span></td>
1100 <td>$1,000 </td>
1101 <td>$650 </td>
1102 <td>$850</td>
1103 </tr>
1104 <tr class="Tully" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1105 <td class="left">Edel Tully <span class="company">Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals, Inc</span></td>
1106 <td>$1,045 </td>
1107 <td>$750 </td>
1108 <td>$903</td>
1109 </tr>
1110 <tr class="avergaes" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1111 <td class="left">Average forecasts <span class="company"></span></td>
1112 <td>$900</td>
1113 <td>$760</td>
1114 <td>$830</td>
1115 </tr>
1116 <tr class="actual">
1117 <td class="left">YTD actual at end [date]</td>
1118 <td>0</td>
1119 <td>0</td>
1120 <td>0</td>
1121 </tr>
1122 </tbody>
1123 </table>
1124 <table id="Silver" class="forecast sortable">
1125 <thead>
1126 <tr>
1127 <th></th>
1128 <th>high</th>
1129 <th>low</th>
1130 <th>average</th>
1131 </tr>
1132 </thead>
1133 <tbody>
1134 <tr class="Biondi" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1135 <td class="left">Adrien Biondi <span class="company">Commerzbank International SA</span></td>
1136 <td>$17.00</td>
1137 <td>$14.50</td>
1138 <td>$15.25</td>
1139 </tr>
1140 <tr class="Briggs" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1141 <td class="left">Stephen Briggs <span class="company">SGCIB</span></td>
1142 <td>$17.00</td>
1143 <td>$11.25</td>
1144 <td>$13.75</td>
1145 </tr>
1146 <tr class="Butler" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1147 <td class="left">Tom Butler <span class="company">Virtual Metals</span></td>
1148 <td>$18.50</td>
1149 <td>$14.00</td>
1150 <td>$16.20</td>
1151 </tr>
1152 <tr class="Christian" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1153 <td class="left">Jeffrey Christian <span class="company">CPM Group</span></td>
1154 <td>$21.00</td>
1155 <td>$12.25</td>
1156 <td>$16.50</td>
1157 </tr>
1158 <tr class="Cooper" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1159 <td class="left">Suki Cooper <span class="company">Barclays Capital</span></td>
1160 <td>$17.00</td>
1161 <td>$12.70</td>
1162 <td>$14.90</td>
1163 </tr>
1164 <tr class="Davis" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1165 <td class="left">David Davis <span class="company">Credit Suisse Standard Securities</span></td>
1166 <td>$25.00</td>
1167 <td>$14.00</td>
1168 <td>$17.30</td>
1169 </tr>
1170 <tr class="Fertig" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1171 <td class="left">Peter Fertig <span class="company">Dresdner Bank</span></td>
1172 <td>$17.00</td>
1173 <td>$14.50</td>
1174 <td>$16.00</td>
1175 </tr>
1176 <tr class="Jansen" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1177 <td class="left">Michael Jansen <span class="company">JPMorgan Chase Bank</span></td>
1178 <td>$16.50</td>
1179 <td>$13.50</td>
1180 <td>$14.00</td>
1181 </tr>
1182 <tr class="Kendall" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1183 <td class="left">Tom Kendall <span class="company">Mitsubishi Corporation</span></td>
1184 <td>$17.75</td>
1185 <td>$13.25</td>
1186 <td>$15.85</td>
1187 </tr>
1188 <tr class="Klapwijk" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1189 <td class="left">Philip Klapwijk <span class="company">GFMS Ltd</span></td>
1190 <td>$19.25</td>
1191 <td>$14.20</td>
1192 <td>$15.45</td>
1193 </tr>
1194 <tr class="Norman" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1195 <td class="left">Ross Norman <span class="company">TheBullionDesk</span></td>
1196 <td>$18.80</td>
1197 <td>$14.93</td>
1198 <td>$16.75</td>
1199 </tr>
1200 <tr class="O'Connell" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1201 <td class="left">Rhona O'Connell <span class="company">ROC Consultancy Ltd.</span></td>
1202 <td>$17.25</td>
1203 <td>$12.50 </td>
1204 <td>$14.00</td>
1205 </tr>
1206 <tr class="Panizzutti" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1207 <td class="left">Frederic Panizzutti <span class="company">MKS Finance S.A.</span></td>
1208 <td>$19.00</td>
1209 <td>$12.00 </td>
1210 <td>$16.00</td>
1211 </tr>
1212 <tr class="Reade" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1213 <td class="left">John Reade <span class="company">UBS Investment Bank</span></td>
1214 <td>$20.50</td>
1215 <td>$11.60 </td>
1216 <td>$15.10</td>
1217 </tr>
1218 <tr class="Rhodes" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1219 <td class="left">Jeffrey Rhodes <span class="company">INTL Commodities</span></td>
1220 <td>$20.50 </td>
1221 <td>$12.75 </td>
1222 <td>$13.95 </td>
1223 </tr>
1224 <tr class="Steel" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1225 <td class="left">James Steel <span class="company">HSBC Bank USA NA</span></td>
1226 <td>$16.50</td>
1227 <td>$13.00 </td>
1228 <td>$14.00</td>
1229 </tr>
1230 <tr class="Takai" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1231 <td class="left">Bob Takai <span class="company">Sumitomo Corporation</span></td>
1232 <td>$18.00</td>
1233 <td>$12.00 </td>
1234 <td>$15.00</td>
1235 </tr>
1236 <tr class="Tully" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1237 <td class="left">Edel Tully <span class="company">Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals, Inc</span></td>
1238 <td>$18.10 </td>
1239 <td>$13.50 </td>
1240 <td>$15.10</td>
1241 </tr>
1242 <tr class="actual">
1243 <td class="left">YTD actual at end [date]</td>
1244 <td>0</td>
1245 <td>0</td>
1246 <td>0</td>
1247 </tr>
1248 </tbody>
1249 </table>
1250 <table id="Platinum" class="forecast sortable">
1251 <thead>
1252 <tr>
1253 <th></th>
1254 <th>high</th>
1255 <th>low</th>
1256 <th>average</th>
1257 </tr>
1258 </thead>
1259 <tbody>
1260 <tr class="Biondi" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1261 <td class="left">Adrien Biondi <span class="company">Commerzbank International SA</span></td>
1262 <td>$1,590</td>
1263 <td>$1,350</td>
1264 <td>$1,454</td>
1265 </tr>
1266 <tr class="Briggs" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1267 <td class="left">Stephen Briggs <span class="company">SGCIB</span></td>
1268 <td>$1,650</td>
1269 <td>$1,275</td>
1270 <td>$1,450</td>
1271 </tr>
1272 <tr class="Christian" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1273 <td class="left">Jeffrey Christian <span class="company">CPM Group</span></td>
1274 <td>$1,700</td>
1275 <td>$1,225</td>
1276 <td>$1,415 </td>
1277 </tr>
1278 <tr class="Cooper" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1279 <td class="left">Suki Cooper <span class="company">Barclays Capital</span></td>
1280 <td>$1,750</td>
1281 <td>$1,350 </td>
1282 <td>$1,620 </td>
1283 </tr>
1284 <tr class="Davis" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1285 <td class="left">David Davis <span class="company">Credit Suisse Standard Securities</span></td>
1286 <td>$2,100</td>
1287 <td>$1,445 </td>
1288 <td>$1,700 </td>
1289 </tr>
1290 <tr class="Fertig" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1291 <td class="left">Peter Fertig <span class="company">Dresdner Bank</span></td>
1292 <td>$1,700</td>
1293 <td>$1,450</td>
1294 <td>$1,600</td>
1295 </tr>
1296 <tr class="Hochreiter" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1297 <td class="left">Rene Hochreiter <span class="company">James Allen</span></td>
1298 <td>$2,000</td>
1299 <td>$1,529</td>
1300 <td>$1,750</td>
1301 </tr>
1302 <tr class="Jansen" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1303 <td class="left">Michael Jansen <span class="company">JPMorgan Chase Bank</span></td>
1304 <td>$1,750</td>
1305 <td>$1,450</td>
1306 <td>$1,475</td>
1307 </tr>
1308 <tr class="Kendall" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1309 <td class="left">Tom Kendall <span class="company">Mitsubishi Corporation</span></td>
1310 <td>$1,760</td>
1311 <td>$1,380</td>
1312 <td>$1,575</td>
1313 </tr>
1314 <tr class="Klapwijk" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1315 <td class="left">Philip Klapwijk <span class="company">GFMS Ltd</span></td>
1316 <td>$1,770</td>
1317 <td>$1,455</td>
1318 <td>$1,527</td>
1319 </tr>
1320 <tr class="Norman" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1321 <td class="left">Ross Norman <span class="company">TheBullionDesk</span></td>
1322 <td>$1,950</td>
1323 <td>$1,530</td>
1324 <td>$1,665</td>
1325 </tr>
1326 <tr class="O'Connell" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1327 <td class="left">Rhona O'Connell <span class="company">ROC Consultancy Ltd.</span></td>
1328 <td>$1,650</td>
1329 <td>$1,350</td>
1330 <td>$1,575</td>
1331 </tr>
1332 <tr class="Panizzutti" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1333 <td class="left">Frederic Panizzutti <span class="company">MKS Finance S.A.</span></td>
1334 <td>$1,700</td>
1335 <td>$1,420</td>
1336 <td>$1,563</td>
1337 </tr>
1338 <tr class="Prest" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1339 <td class="left">Rupert Prest <span class="company">Standard Bank Plc</span></td>
1340 <td>$1,720</td>
1341 <td>$1,375</td>
1342 <td>$1,525</td>
1343 </tr>
1344 <tr class="Reade" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1345 <td class="left">John Reade <span class="company">UBS Investment Bank</span></td>
1346 <td>$1,850</td>
1347 <td>$1,300</td>
1348 <td>$1,520</td>
1349 </tr>
1350 <tr class="Smith" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1351 <td class="left">Daniel Smith <span class="company">Standard Chartered Bank</span></td>
1352 <td>$1,700</td>
1353 <td>$1,400</td>
1354 <td>$1,570</td>
1355 </tr>
1356 <tr class="Steel" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1357 <td class="left">James Steel <span class="company">HSBC Bank USA NA</span></td>
1358 <td>$1,650</td>
1359 <td>$1,400</td>
1360 <td>$1,500</td>
1361 </tr>
1362 <tr class="Stevens" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1363 <td class="left">Glyn Stevens <span class="company">INTL Commodities Inc</span></td>
1364 <td>$2,100</td>
1365 <td>$1,425</td>
1366 <td>$1,620</td>
1367 </tr>
1368 <tr class="Takai" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1369 <td class="left">Bob Takai <span class="company">Sumitomo Corporation</span></td>
1370 <td>$1,800</td>
1371 <td>$1,200</td>
1372 <td>$1,500</td>
1373 </tr>
1374 <tr class="Tully" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1375 <td class="left">Edel Tully <span class="company">Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals, Inc</span></td>
1376 <td>$1,850</td>
1377 <td>$1,400</td>
1378 <td>$1,675</td>
1379 </tr>
1380 <tr class="actual">
1381 <td class="left">YTD actual at end [date]</td>
1382 <td>0</td>
1383 <td>0</td>
1384 <td>0</td>
1385 </tr>
1386 </tbody>
1387 </table>
1388 <table id="Palladium" class="forecast sortable">
1389 <thead>
1390 <tr>
1391 <th></th>
1392 <th>high</th>
1393 <th>low</th>
1394 <th>average</th>
1395 </tr>
1396 </thead>
1397 <tbody>
1398 <tr class="Biondi" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1399 <td class="left">Adrien Biondi <span class="company">Commerzbank International SA</span></td>
1400 <td>$415</td>
1401 <td>$335</td>
1402 <td>$362</td>
1403 </tr>
1404 <tr class="Briggs" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1405 <td class="left">Stephen Briggs <span class="company">SGCIB</span></td>
1406 <td>$425</td>
1407 <td>$300</td>
1408 <td>$350</td>
1409 </tr>
1410 <tr class="Christian" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1411 <td class="left">Jeffrey Christian <span class="company">CPM Group</span></td>
1412 <td>$420</td>
1413 <td>$340</td>
1414 <td>$368</td>
1415 </tr>
1416 <tr class="Cooper" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1417 <td class="left">Suki Cooper <span class="company">Barclays Capital</span></td>
1418 <td>$420</td>
1419 <td>$300</td>
1420 <td>$358</td>
1421 </tr>
1422 <tr class="Davis" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1423 <td class="left">David Davis <span class="company">Credit Suisse Standard Securities</span></td>
1424 <td>$420</td>
1425 <td>$320</td>
1426 <td>$381</td>
1427 </tr>
1428 <tr class="Fertig" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1429 <td class="left">Peter Fertig <span class="company">Dresdner Bank</span></td>
1430 <td>$425</td>
1431 <td>$350</td>
1432 <td>$390</td>
1433 </tr>
1434 <tr class="Hochreiter" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1435 <td class="left">Rene Hochreiter <span class="company">James Allen</span></td>
1436 <td>$600</td>
1437 <td>$350</td>
1438 <td>$450</td>
1439 </tr>
1440 <tr class="Jansen" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1441 <td class="left">Michael Jansen <span class="company">JPMorgan Chase Bank</span></td>
1442 <td>$440</td>
1443 <td>$350</td>
1444 <td>$416</td>
1445 </tr>
1446 <tr class="Kendall" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1447 <td class="left">Tom Kendall <span class="company">Mitsubishi Corporation</span></td>
1448 <td>$445</td>
1449 <td>$340</td>
1450 <td>$370</td>
1451 </tr>
1452 <tr class="Klapwijk" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1453 <td class="left">Philip Klapwijk <span class="company">GFMS Ltd</span></td>
1454 <td>$470</td>
1455 <td>$335</td>
1456 <td>$397</td>
1457 </tr>
1458 <tr class="Norman" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1459 <td class="left">Ross Norman <span class="company">TheBullionDesk</span></td>
1460 <td>$495</td>
1461 <td>$370</td>
1462 <td>$412</td>
1463 </tr>
1464 <tr class="O'Connell" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1465 <td class="left">Rhona O'Connell <span class="company">ROC Consultancy Ltd.</span></td>
1466 <td>$425</td>
1467 <td>$320</td>
1468 <td>$390</td>
1469 </tr>
1470 <tr class="Panizzutti" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1471 <td class="left">Frederic Panizzutti <span class="company">MKS Finance S.A.</span></td>
1472 <td>$420</td>
1473 <td>$320</td>
1474 <td>$365</td>
1475 </tr>
1476 <tr class="Prest" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1477 <td class="left">Rupert Prest <span class="company">Standard Bank Plc</span></td>
1478 <td>$415</td>
1479 <td>$320</td>
1480 <td>$355</td>
1481 </tr>
1482 <tr class="Reade" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1483 <td class="left">John Reade <span class="company">UBS Investment Bank</span></td>
1484 <td>$420</td>
1485 <td>$300</td>
1486 <td>$350</td>
1487 </tr>
1488 <tr class="Steel" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1489 <td class="left">James Steel <span class="company">HSBC Bank USA NA</span></td>
1490 <td>$400</td>
1491 <td>$330</td>
1492 <td>$360</td>
1493 </tr>
1494 <tr class="Stevens" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1495 <td class="left">Glyn Stevens <span class="company">INTL Commodities Inc</span></td>
1496 <td>$460</td>
1497 <td>$280</td>
1498 <td>$365</td>
1499 </tr>
1500 <tr class="Takai" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1501 <td class="left">Bob Takai <span class="company">Sumitomo Corporation</span></td>
1502 <td>$450</td>
1503 <td>$300</td>
1504 <td>$350</td>
1505 </tr>
1506 <tr class="Tully" onclick="showcomments(this)">
1507 <td class="left">Edel Tully <span class="company">Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals, Inc</span></td>
1508 <td>$440</td>
1509 <td>$335</td>
1510 <td>$370</td>
1511 </tr>
1512 <tr class="actual">
1513 <td class="left">YTD actual at end [date]</td>
1514 <td>0</td>
1515 <td>0</td>
1516 <td>0</td>
1517 </tr>
1518 </tbody>
1519 </table>
1520 <p>
1521 Download the
1522 <a href="archive/forecast2008.pdf">
1523 forecast for 2008</a>.
1524 </p>
Attached Files
To refer to attachments on a page, use attachment:filename, as shown below in the list of files. Do NOT use the URL of the [get] link, since this is subject to change and can break easily.You are not allowed to attach a file to this page.